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أفكار يومية للتداول

August 29th, 2013 by WorldWideMarkets
August 30, 2013 - Pivot points, Support & Resistance levels for Gold, Silver, US Crude Oil and forex pairs offered by WorldWideMarkets. A technical analysis indicator used to try and determine the short-term trend of the market. The pivot point is the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. If the market in the following day trades above the pivot point it is thought to be exhibiting bullish sentiment, whereas trading below the pivot point is seen as bearish. PP_083013August 30, 2013 - Pivot points, Support
August 28th, 2013 by WorldWideMarkets
August 29, 2013 - Pivot points, Support & Resistance levels for Gold, Silver, US Crude Oil and forex pairs offered by WorldWideMarkets. A technical analysis indicator used to try and determine the short-term trend of the market. The pivot point is the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. If the market in the following day trades above the pivot point it is thought to be exhibiting bullish sentiment, whereas trading below the pivot point is seen as bearish. PP_082913August 29, 2013 - Pivot points, Support
August 27th, 2013 by WorldWideMarkets
August 28, 2013 - Pivot points, Support & Resistance levels for Gold, Silver, US Crude Oil and forex pairs offered by WorldWideMarkets. A technical analysis indicator used to try and determine the short-term trend of the market. The pivot point is the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. If the market in the following day trades above the pivot point it is thought to be exhibiting bullish sentiment, whereas trading below the pivot point is seen as bearish. PP_082813August 28, 2013 - Pivot points, Support
August 26th, 2013 by WorldWideMarkets
August 27, 2013 - Pivot points, Support & Resistance levels for Gold, Silver, US Crude Oil and forex pairs offered by WorldWideMarkets. A technical analysis indicator used to try and determine the short-term trend of the market. The pivot point is the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. If the market in the following day trades above the pivot point it is thought to be exhibiting bullish sentiment, whereas trading below the pivot point is seen as bearish   PP_071213August 27, 2013 - Pivot points, Support
August 26th, 2013 by WorldWideMarkets
 

TA001

يتم التعامل مع التحليل الفني في بعض الأحيان كما لو أنه يحتوي على الكثير من المعارف السرية أو يصور الحقيقة الجوهرية حول عملة. وغالبا ما يستدل على أن تشكيل رسم معين سينتج حركة سعر محدد.

 التحليل الفني لا يفعل شيئا من هذا القبيل.التشارت هو انعكاس لسعر الماضي و الذي لا يتنبأ بالحركة المستقبلية.العملات لا تتحرك صعودا من الاسفل بسبب وجود شكل معين على التشارت

العملات تتحرك لأن المشاركين في السوق، أنت وأنا، والتجار، وجعل الافتراضات حول سلوك السوق في المستقبل استنادا إلى سجل من السلوك الماضي الذي يرد في الرسم البياني.

فمن الأهمية بمكان أن نتذكر أن آلية ترجمة للتحليل التقني تنطلق من المعلومات الواردة في المخطط، من خلال تحليل تلك المعلومات إلى سلوك المشاركين في السوق.وهناك طريقة أخرى للاقتراب هذه الفكرة هو أن نسأل، فقط الذي هو "السوق" وما الذي يحاول تحقيقه. أكثر من 90٪ من حجم التداول اليومي في سوق العملات الأجنبية هو المضاربة. وهذا يعني أن الجميع في السوق، ومدير صندوق التحوط، التاجر ما بين البنوك في محطته وتاجر التجزئة في منزلها، وتحاول أن تفعل نفس الشيء بالضبط، اخذ أرباح التداول اليومي.

إذا كان كل مشارك في السوق وتحاول أن تفعل الشيء نفسه، وانتزاع أي أرباح المضاربة من أنشطة اليوم كيف يمكنهم جميعا التوجه نحو ذلك؟أول شيء كل تاجر يفعله، في زيوريخ، في طوكيو، في الرياض، في لندن، في نيويورك، وفي جميع النقاط بينهاأول شيء تفعله كل يوم جلست على مكتب ما بين البنوك، وكان لسحب ما يصل بلدي الرسوم البيانية والبحث عن الاتجاهات والفرص التجارية. كل تاجر يبحث عن فرص الربح وتبحث في نفس المخططات. الجميع يرى في التاريخ بنفس السعر. الجميع يعرف تشكيلات الرسم البياني ذاته،

 وهذا هو المفتاح: غالبية المتداولين سوف يصلون إلى نفس النتيجة بناء على هذه العوامل.

يسعى المتداولون للأرباح. جميع الرسوم البيانية تحتوي على معلومات متطابقة وجميع المتداولون يعملون مع افتراضات مشابهة جدا حول سلوك السوق على أساس تشكيلات الرسم البياني.

إذا ما يكفي من التجار وضع أوامر الشراء الخاصة بهم فوق الجزء السفلي من القناة يصبح من المرجح أن اليورو سوف يرتد والاستمرار في تشكيل القناة الصاعدة، باستثناء أحداث خارجية بطبيعة الحال.

تذكر، الرسوم البيانية لا يتوقع تحركات العملة. انهم التنبؤ بأفعال تداول الأفراد بتلك العملة

المحلل العالمي جوزيف تريفساني كبير محللي السوق الاستراتيجين في ورلدوايدماركتس

  يتم التعامل مع التحليل الفني في بعض الأحيان كما لو أنه يحتوي على الكثير من المعارف السرية أو يصور الحقيقة الجوهرية حول عملة. وغالبا ما يستدل على أن تشكيل رسم معين سينتج حركة سعر محدد.  التحليل الفني لا يفعل شيئا من هذا القبيل.التشارت هو انعكاس لسعر الماضي و الذي لا يتنبأ بالحركة المستقبلية.العملات لا تتحرك صعودا من الاسفل بسبب وجود شكل ...
August 12th, 2013 by WorldWideMarkets
Gold Gains on Fundamentals, Halts on Technicals

Gold

Gold rose to nearly a three week peak spurred by Friday's weaker than expected U.S. wholesale inventory data and Chinese consumption.

Gold touched $1,344.01 in thin New York trading, the best level for the precious metal since July 23rd, $1,346.83, and 24th, $1,348.60. It halted before the resistance formed by those two tops, the June 19th low at $1,349.28 and the June 20th high, $1,352.75,  the latter being  the day of the $76 fall  which led directly to the $1,180.57  three year low on June 28th. Wholesale inventories declined 0.2% in June on forecasts for a 0.4% gain, becoming the third negative month in a row. Businesses may not be replacing inventories because they are no longer anticipating an increase in sales and are letting costly stocks sell off. If firms are replacing their goods and raw material stockpiles at lower rates, this could subtract from second quarter GDP and diminish the chances that the Fed will begin to curtail its securities purchases in September. Retail sales for July are reported at 8:30 am tomorrow and a gain of 0.3% is forecast after a disappointing June result that at 0.4% was half the prediction. Gold traditionally rises with a weaker dollar, and markets have been anticipating a stronger dollar if the Fed begins to reduce its QE purchases in September. If the Fed does not do so traders will probably recalibrate their estimate of dollar strength in the third and fourth quarters. The China Gold Association reported today that gold consumption on the mainland climbed to 706.36 tons in the first half of this year. In all of 2012 only 832.18 tons tone were utilized. Joseph Trevisani Chief Market Strategist WorldWideMarkets Charts: Bloomberg bb1 bb2Gold Gains on Fundamentals, Halts on Technicals

Gold

August 9th, 2013 by WorldWideMarkets
US Oil : Ideas you can trade - short term momentum in down channel US Oil : Short term bearish momentum in down channel The daily candle chart below shows US Oil failing to hold onto the support line of a steep short term bullish channel (point 1 on chart) which was discussed in a previous article  in late July where it has since entered into a developing short term bearish channel (point 4) and exhibiting bearish momentum (point 8). US Oil is currently trading near 105.12 (as of publication) which coincides along the upper short term bearish resistance line (point 8) which has been followed closely over the past six trading sessions. A breakout above this short term line (point 8) could enable a bullish trend line (such as point 1 to develop) to support a target of the resistance line of the long term bullish channel (point 2) and the resistance line of the developing short term bearish channel (point 4). If US Oil does not break above the short term bearish resistance line, a bearish continuation could bring prices closer towards the support line of the short term bearish channel (point 4) and/or the short term bullish support line (point 3) with additional support further below near long and medium term bearish resistance (point 7 and point 5). Below are examples of how to trade a bullish reversal or a bearish continuation: 1.  BULLISH BUY ENTRY ORDER: Create a “Buy Entry Stop” @ 105.40 with a Limit to take profit @ 105.95 and a stop-loss @ 104.99 Risk/Reward Summary: Limit risk = +55 points profit / (-41 ) Stop-loss risk = Gain to Loss ratio =  1.34 2.  BEARISH SELL ENTRY ORDER: Create a “Sell Entry Stop” @103.59 with a Limit to take profit @ 102.45 and a stop-loss @ 104.44 Risk/Reward Summary:   Limit risk = +114  point profit / (-85 ) Stop-loss risk = Gain to Loss Ratio =   1.34 medium term chart: Oil  US Oil : Ideas you can trade - short term momentum in down channel US Oil : Short term bearish momentum in down channel The daily candle chart below shows US Oil failing to hold onto the support line of a steep short term bullish channel (point 1 on chart) which was discussed in a
August 8th, 2013 by Hani
August 09, 2013 - Pivot points, Support and Resistance levels for Gold, Silver, US Crude Oil and the currency market.(click to enlarge) A technical analysis indicator used to try and determine the short-term trend of the market. The pivot point is the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. If the market in the following day trades above the pivot point it is thought to be exhibiting bullish sentiment, whereas trading below the pivot point is seen as bearish. PP_080913
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August 09, 2013 - Pivot points, Support and Resistance levels for Gold, Silver, US Crude Oil and the currency market.(click to enlarge) A technical analysis indicator used to try and determine the short-term trend of the market. The pivot point is the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. If ...
August 8th, 2013 by Hani

Australian Dollar Fundamnetal and Technical Analysis

The overall weakness in the Australian Dollar since April has been caused by an unexpected slowdown in the Chinese economy, Australia's biggest export market, which began to be reported in mid-April.Australiandollar Chinese Economic Statistics Exports y/y: February 21.8%; March 10.0%, expected 11.7%, reported on April 9th; April 14.6%; May 1.0%; June -3.1%. They have revived to 5.1% in July. Imports y/y: February -15.0%; March 14.2%, reported April 9th; April 16.8%;  May -0.3%; June 0.7%; July 10.9%. Two other major economic statistics were weaker than anticipated and reported in mid-April also. Industrial production y/y: December 10.3%, (no figures for January and February); March 8.9%, expected 10.1%, reported on April 14th; April 9.3%, May 9.2%, June 8.9. GDP y/y: Q1 7.7%, expected 8.0% released April 14th, Q4 2011 7.9%, The Australian Dollar peaked on April 11 and the current well defined channel is dated to then. The purchasing managers index (PMI) showed increasing weakness throughout the spring and helped to keep the Australian Dollar under pressure. Official Manufacturing PMI: March 50.9; April 50.6, expected 50.7, reported on April 30th; June 50.1; July 50.3. Services PMI: January 56.2; February 54.5; March 55.6; April 54.5, reported May 2nd; May 54.5; June 53.9; July 54.1.  HSBC's numbers show a similar patern though the range is lower. They have July services PMI at 51.3 and manufacturing at 47.7. Technical Levels The Aud has been in a strong well defined down channel since the turn lower on April 11th. Several highs in late July (24th, 26th, 29th) halted at the upper border and trading on the 30th then turned back into the center of the channel. Today's high, 0.9135,  stopped just short of the upper limit which is now at 0.9152. The April 11th (1.0599)to August 8th (0.8848) move has, as of yet, seen no appreciable retracement. 0.9291 55 day moving average 0.9195  Offers 0.9160  Large stops 0.9150  Good resistance, offers, channel top 0.9119  21-day moving average Current Price 0.9102 0.9093 14 day moving average 0.9020 Medium support, bids 0.9000 Medium support, bids 0.8950 Good demand, bids 0.8900 Good demand, bids, stops   AUSSIE: Broad dollar weakness continues in the European afternoon as the aussie flushes stops through $0.9100 to print highs of $0.9104. Tech resistance seen at $0.9117 (21-day ma), strong offers behind at $0.9125/30 with large stops on a break.
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Australian Dollar Fundamnetal and Technical Analysis

The overall weakness in the Australian Dollar since April has been caused by an unexpected slowdown in the Chinese economy, Australia's biggest export market, which began to be reported in mid-April.
June 19th, 2013 by WorldWideMarkets
Wednesday June 19, 2013 16:30 UTC The chart shows a bearish trend in GBPCHF (point 1 on chart) continuing as it has broken below a medium-term bullish channel (point 2 on chart) and testing just below it on a lower shorter-term parallel bullish-support line (also point 2 on chart).  Although a convergence of longer term trend lines is approaching (point 4 on chart), the short term momentum has been bearish, and is trading near the lower side of a developing triangle. Failure to hold any support at current levels could cause GBPCHF to test lower within the existing short term bearish channel (point 1 on chart). Although the medium-term trend is bullish, the short-term momentum is bearish overall -with potential continuation within existing channels. If current support holds there could be significant resistance along a long term descending bearish resistance line (point 3 on chart) which could cause a trend reversal unless there is a breakthrough to the upside. Below are examples of how to trade a bearish continuation if the trend continues or a bullish reversal if the trend reverses and bullish support lines can be regained. 1.  BULLISH BUY ENTRY ORDER: Create a “Buy Entry Stop” @1.4490 with a Limit to take profit @ 1.4566 and a stop-loss to cut losses @ 1.4426 Risk/Reward Summary: Limit risk = +76 pips profit / (-64) Stop-loss risk = Gain to Loss ratio = 1.19 2.  BEARISH SELL ENTRY ORDER: Create a “Sell Entry Stop” @ 1.4326, with a Limit to take profit @ 1.4270 and a stop-loss to cut losses @ 1.4383 Risk/Reward Summary:   Limit risk = +56 pips profit / (-57) Stop-loss risk = Gain to Loss Ratio = 0.98Wednesday June 19, 2013 16:30 UTC The chart shows a bearish trend in GBPCHF (point 1 on chart) continuing as it has broken below a medium-term bullish channel (point 2 on chart) and testing just below it on a lower shorter-term parallel bullish-support line (also point 2 on chart).  Although a convergence of longer term trend lines is ...